A mathematical proof that there is no “climate crisis” has been published in debate on global warming in Physics and Society, a scientific publication of the 46,000-strong American Physical Society.
Christopher Monckton, who once advised Margaret Thatcher, demonstrates via 30 equations that computer models used by the UN’s climate panel (IPCC) were pre-programmed with overstated values for the three variables whose product is “climate sensitivity” (temperature increase in response to greenhouse-gas increase), resulting in a 500-2000% overstatement of CO2’s effect on temperature in the IPCC’s latest climate assessment report, published in 2007.
The article, entitled Climate Sensitivity Reconsidered demonstrates that later this century a doubling of the concentration of CO2 compared with pre-industrial levels will increase global mean surface temperature not by the 6 °F predicted by the IPCC but, harmlessly, by little more than 1 °F. Lord Monckton concludes –
“… Perhaps real-world climate sensitivity is very much below the IPCC’s estimates. Perhaps, therefore, there is no ‘climate crisis’ at all. … The correct policy approach to a non-problem is to have the courage to do nothing.”
Larry Gould, Professor of Physics at the University of Hartford and Chair (2004) of the New England Section of the American Physical Society (APS), has been studying climate-change science for four years. He said:
“I was impressed by an hour-long academic lecture which criticized claims about ‘global warming’ and explained the implications of the physics of radiative transfer for climate change. I was pleased that the audience responded to the informative presentation with a prolonged, standing ovation. That is what happened when, at the invitation of the President of our University, Christopher Monckton lectured here in Hartford this spring. I am delighted that Physics and Society, an APS journal, has published his detailed paper refining and reporting his important and revealing results.
“To me the value of this paper lies in its dispassionate but ruthlessly clear exposition – or, rather, exposé – of the IPCC’s method of evaluating climate sensitivity. The detailed arguments in this paper, and, indeed, in a large number of other scientific papers, point up extensive errors, including numerous projection errors of climate models, as well as misleading statements by the IPCC. Consequently, there are no rational grounds for believing either the IPCC or any other claims of dangerous anthropogenic ‘global warming’.”
Lord Monckton’s paper reveals that –
- The IPCC’s 2007 climate summary overstated CO2’s impact on temperature by 500-2000%;
- CO2 enrichment will add little more than 1 °F (0.6 °C) to global mean surface temperature by 2100;
- Not one of the three key variables whose product is climate sensitivity can be measured directly;
- The IPCC’s values for these key variables are taken from only four published papers, not 2,500;
- The IPCC’s values for each of the three variables, and hence for climate sensitivity, are overstated;
- “Global warming” halted ten years ago, and surface temperature has been falling for seven years;
- Not one of the computer models relied upon by the IPCC predicted so long and rapid a cooling;
- The IPCC inserted a table into the scientists’ draft, overstating the effect of ice-melt by 1000%;
- It was proved 50 years ago that predicting climate more than two weeks ahead is impossible;
- Mars, Jupiter, Neptune’s largest moon, and Pluto warmed at the same time as Earth warmed;
- In the past 70 years the Sun was more active than at almost any other time in the past 11,400 years.
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roger said,
in any case, the glacial ice and polar ice is disappearing. question is, will it return with the decrease of solar activity?
we’ll just have to wait and see.
July 18, 2008 at 2:20 pm
Roger F. Gay said,
July 18, 2008 at 2:46 pm
roger said,
July 18, 2008 at 9:01 pm
DrDamage said,
July 18, 2008 at 10:11 pm
Roger F. Gay said,
http://www.nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_timeseries.png
Some analysis:
http://globalwarminghoax.com/comment.php?comment.news.79
July 19, 2008 at 2:00 am
Roger F. Gay said,
The images of extremely rapid ice melt have all been related to other local causes and are local phenomena. The local causes, such as changes in land use, particularly deforestation were known when Gore’s movie was created. Gore lied - it was completely dishonest - like the suffering polar bears and everything else. In Greenland, they’ve discovered underground active valcano thingys, which add heat to the particular spots in Greenland that are melting at an unusually rapid rate.
July 19, 2008 at 2:09 am
Third of Conservatives don't accept climate change | alexlockwood.net said,
July 19, 2008 at 3:06 am
Roger F. Gay said,
Nor is the weather getting wilder. Cyclones, as well as tornadoes and hurricanes, aren’t increasing and the rain in Australia hasn’t stopped falling.
What’s more, the slight warming we saw over the century until 1998 still makes the world no hotter today than it was 1000 years ago.
In fact, it’s even a bit cooler. So, dude, where’s my global warming?
Source: http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,24036602-5000117,00.html
July 19, 2008 at 7:06 am
amfortas said,
The great Economic Models have been cranked up by, well, cranks, and they will not be uncranked in a hurry. The President of Australia, Chairman Mou-Sey Rudd has decided to lead the world, punch above his weight, and everyone better damned well follow his lead or the massed forces of the ABC will report on you.
July 19, 2008 at 9:43 am
Roger F. Gay said,
http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,24036602-5000117,00.html
July 19, 2008 at 10:03 am
NOWMEN.NET said,
July 19, 2008 at 10:15 am
Roger F. Gay said,
July 19, 2008 at 11:18 am
Roger F. Gay said,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pole_shift_hypothesis
July 19, 2008 at 11:21 am
NOWMEN.NET said,
July 19, 2008 at 1:06 pm
Zorik said,
The poles don’t move or shift. However, magnetic poles move slowly and are said to shift.
There is a theory that the magnetic field reverses periodically. However, the idea of the magnetic field reversing is highly dubious. It appears that some dodo drew a line thru the middle of some periodic fluctuations and declared it a “reversal” whenever the field crossed over the imaginarly line on his graph.
By the way, the term “wooly mammoth” is erroneous. The mammoths were hairy, not wooly. Wool retains heat, hair does not.
July 19, 2008 at 8:17 pm
rastus said,
July 19, 2008 at 9:04 pm
Roger F. Gay said,
There has been at least debate on the topic of a rapid change in the tilt or position of the axis - but I only glanced through the topic once a long time ago - don’t really remember the details. Perhaps my memory is so faded on the topic at this point, I might have confused it with some early discussions on precession.
July 20, 2008 at 1:59 am
Courtesy and the Monckton Paper | alexlockwood.net said,
July 21, 2008 at 1:23 am
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